That Israeli Strike thing

Ever since Israel had that air strike inside Syria and the world is acting as if the Israeli-Syrian war is just around the corner. Of course, the silence around the whole thing is opening the door wide open for speculation : Is it a dry run for an Iran attack? Is it true about North Korea's involvement and the nukes ? Why is everybody making this much noise this time? And why do I always fall for Hollywood Hype? What? Lion King? Wonderful Movie. Seen it twice. Buy the Soundtrack too? You Betcha!

Just to end this: The Syrians are giant pussies. They won't ever, ever, ever go to war with Israel by themselves. They can't afford to. This is why they never joined the fight with Hezbollah last war. Unlike Hezbollah, Syria has targets and an infrastructure that can be bombed, while with Hezbollah Israel ran out of roads and bridges and started bombing milk factories. So yeah, Hezbollah can go to war with Israel, but Syria can't, so they won't. Not to mention, the Assad's are not interested in creating conflict or manifest destiny or creating a legacy or anything. They are a mafia in charge of a turf, and the only thing they care about is controlling that turf and keeping the money flowing. This is why they are not that big into getting the golan back. No money in the Golan. More money in controlling Lebanon. So yeah, they don;t want anything to mess that up. So yeah, no war on their minds.

Not to mention, Israel doesn't want war with Syria either. Bashar is their puppy dog. He barks but rarely bites. The only countries he actually attacks are his arab neighbours and not the Israelis. Plus he keeps the Muslim Brotherhood under control, and any war that destabilizes his regime will bring about a sunni MB government to take over, and the last thing Israel wants on its border is a radical Sunni Islamic government. So they will never do anything that will bring about the end of Bashar. The Devil you know and all.

So yeah, nuttin to see here folks. Move along now! 

Comments

  1. Fear not Israel, if the smart bombs are only as bright as Ahmedinejad, you are safe.

  2. This has been building for 28 years. It looks as if it’s going to come to a head sooner than later. The poor Iranian people will take the brunt of reprisals for their leaders madness. France, Germany, England, United States, Israel will combine to pounce on the Revolutionary Iranian menace. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s hyperbole and Persian blabbering about 600 missiles aimed at Israel are reminiscent of Bagdad Bob saying their are no American tanks in Bagdad. Bluster and bull sh!t is all he is capable of. What a complete failure as a national leader. Keep those building cranes warmed up in Tehran, Mahmoud and the Mullahs will be suspended from them soon.

  3. Your facts are straight and sound, but they’re not all the facts. Two more things have to be considered:

    a. The Israeli public wants war. The army, even more so, to “wipe out the shame” of last summer. It has pumping the media with information about the coming war for quite some time, and it is used to getting what it wants.

    b. The Syrians may be trigger-shy, but you can only push them so far. They may not go in for the full air-strikes-and-regime-change war, but they have a nasty habit in igniting little fires.

    Both of which may drive us to war.

  4. Roman Kalik says:

    *raises eyebrow* Yossi, while I see the “shame” of the Second Lebanon War quite clearly, I also remember the change of rhetoric by Assad shortly after the war ended. You know, the “Resistance” and “Path of Hezbollah” declarations. Perhaps in your world, the IDF is some kind of dictatorship. Whatever. It must be a very strong dictator, to be able to manipulate Syrian media as well.

  5. Ronen, the Syrians have been also trying to get a peace treaty. Assad has repeatedly asked for renegotiations, and was rebuffed. As there is no free Syrian media and no clear indication of what the Syrian people want or think, nor do I know how much (if at all) the Assad regime is influenced by public opinion, I can only comment on the Israeli side.

  6. Roman Kalik says:

    Yossi, the Syrian regime wants a deal with the West, not merely with Israel. They want to be a pet dictatorship, with their continued existence assured in that manner. This will also mean handing over Lebanon to Syrian governance again, both because the Syrian regime can’t allow the Hariri tribunal to come to pass, and because Lebanese economy is a good money cow for Syria.

    But what happens when the Ba’ath collapses? What happens is that we have two full enemy states.

    Also, I would take peace offers uttered in the same breath as war threats and sword rattling, with a grain of salt. The Assad regime is not exactly honest, more like a mafia racket that got itself a country. They know which levers to pull in the Israeli peacenik crowd by waving a mythical and abstract concept of “peace”, while others know that the best we could ever get with the Ba’ath is a temporary agreement of convenience, similar to what we have with Egypt (an agreement that survives only due to Mubarak). And like the vast majority of Egyptians, Syrians don’t like us much, to say the least. Decades of brainwashing can do that.

    So, is it worth it? Not everything that’s called peace, *is* peace. And the cost is simply too high.

    Oh, and my name is Roman. With an ‘m’, and an ‘a’.

  7. the syrian giant ‘kos’ will do what ever its boss in iran tells them to do.

    right now it looks like war in the future.

  8. SM,

    You’re right. Israeli-Syrian wars take place in Lebanon- not Syria or Israel. That’s just the way it is.